|sabato 29 Gennaio 2011||Scritto da Alessandro Maggiani - 916 letture||
January 13, 2011, a seraphic Italian foreign minister announces that President Ben Ali is strong in charge and that Italian diplomacy is working for stability in the Mediterranean. From Paris, French foreign minister said confidently that France has taken steps to ensure a peaceful exit to the riots and street protests. Only twenty-four hours later, Ben Ali gets on a plane with his wife, court and probably gold stolen from central bank’s coffers, direction Saudi Arabia, one-way trip.
President Sarkozy, very angry, commented: ”I could learn more about the situation in Tunisia speaking with the young wife of Minister Besson! (who was born in Maghreb)”. Embarrassed silence from Rome. Nothing heard, as usual, by Lord Ashton,”Foreign Minister” of the European Union. These were the two dramatic days in which, for the first time since the Algerian war of liberation, the powers of the north shore of the Mediterranean sea proved to have no more influence, contacts, intelligence and control on historical areas of influence. A question shakes Western diplomats: who’s in charge now in the Maghreb?
To answer this question we need to start from a marginal figure in Western economies, but fundamental developing countries’: the price of wheay, jumped in one year by about 83%. How can systems basically national-socialist such as Algerian, Tunisian and Egyptian ones sustain such an increase in the cost of raw materials without any social repercussions?
Obviously they can’t. This is demonstrated by the events of recent days, as evidenced by the riots and the escape of Tunis Rais in front of the anger of young people, often educated and secular but, before all, with their purchasing power reduced to a minimum.
But who is determining the price of cereals in the global market? Paraphrasing the theory that the flap of a butterfly wing in a certain area of the world can cause a tornado somewhere else, we can say that the economic, political and social tsunami of North Africa has been triggered by the leap of the Chinese tiger in the basic food market. It ‘s the capital that makes the price and in Beijing there is a lot of capital, even too much, certainly enough to buy wheat, oats and similar at prices out of the possibilities of everyone else. China gets a double benefit: on the one hand for its own people, providing food to its huge population, and on the other hand, strategically, using the weapon of raw materials to expand its area of influence in any area of the planet which has its hands tied.
It’s not strange then that North Africa suffers the effects of food price raising: it is a complex but not risky operation, part of a strategy of slow and steady rise of the Middle Empire as the dominant power in the twenty-first century, a strategy that is built on two trade routes: the Silk Road and the Trans-Saharan Road, both in the direction of the Mediterranean sea, Europe. In this light it is necessary for Beijing to stabilize the area of the Maghreb with a trustworty ruling class, a reliable guarantee of the very heavy investments of the Chinese sovereign wealth fund in Africa. Once obtained the monopoly of the raw materials of African continent, the Chinese have invested in Moroccans, Algerians, Tunisians and Egyptians, harbors, interchanges for containers full of semi-finished products ready to go to Europe. The “Chinese Peace” could be achieved by fishing in those middle-class elite of traders who are getting rich thanks to the major commercial ports, adequately supported in terms of capital, freed from the oligarchies of the past regimens. A new course then, probably a free market one, with a strong party of reference in the context of only formally democratic institutions, facilitated in the fight against fundamentalism shadows by an intense economic growth and unlimited incentives in order to protect the investment from East.
Thus, once created the commercial bridge between north and south via Mediterranean sea, Beijing will march straight to Europe, supporting it with the debt as an anti-dollar instrument, shopping on the high German technology in order to “set the price” of Western economic system. In Berlin, they seem to have fully understood the mechanism and the data of GDP growth represent the proofs. A mechanism by which we will be all technically vassals of Beijing, an inevitable historical process impeccably managed by Chancellor Merkel. In Washington, however, while they are stuck in the coverage of the Silk Road in Central Asia, they saw the Chinese reaching the west from the south. Indeed, the Horn of Africa already has a presence of Chinese aircraft carriers ready to future military rise also in the Mediterranean. In Rome, as usual, we sing the praises of Christianity and we candidate ourselves to the role of Germans servants, while continuing to bankroll Gaddafi to protect us from the weak, symbolic scarecrow of the radical Islam. This will be in the long run overcome by capitals and wealth coming in from East. Minister Frattini is used to quote the 36 Chinese rules of war, despite the fact that, apparently, he does not know how to interpret them. We, rough people, confine ourselves to the words of a Sabin poet and softly and a little worried we wonder how on earth a rock can stem the sea…
Alessandro Maggiani, honest and religious man, is supported by his parents due to hope lack. He was controvery champion at the Youth Games in 1997. Its only hobby is women contemplation. He was supposed to become a bomber, but he was born in the wrong age.